1. Introduction
2. Assessment Principles and Overview
3. Systematic Analysis to Determine the
LOA
4. Importance of Current and Accurate Data
5. How to Conduct a Ratio Study
6. Time Trend Analysis
7. Obtaining Resources and Help
Level of Assessment Determination: An Owner's Manual for Maintaining Uniformity
1. Introduction
As an assessor, you are responsible for determining the level of
assessment (LOA) for your assessing unit and making sure that all
properties are assessed at the same uniform percentage of value.
As a matter of fact, the Real Property Tax Law (RPTL) requires that
you annually:
- keep assessments uniform as of the valuation date (Sections 301,
305);
- sign an oath that the assessments are uniform (Section
505); and
- state the LOA on the tentative roll (Section 502).
Each assessment represents a percentage of market value, whether
it is 100 percent or otherwise. The overall percentage of market
value at which properties are assessed within each community is the
LOA. For example, an LOA of 50% would indicate that assessments are
at half of market value; whereas an LOA of 100% represents a community
that is assessing at full value.
By maintaining assessments at market value or at a uniform percentage
each year, your LOA will remain the same from one year to the next. Alternatively, you could adjust assessments each year to reflect a decreasing LOA if the market is appreciating or an increasing LOA if the market is depreciating. In either case, state law requires assessments
to be uniform each year.
The Owner's Manual details:
- how to calculate the LOA for your assessing unit;
- how to conduct systematic analyses, time trends, and ratio studies for purposes of tracking the market, updating assessments, and maintaining your
LOA;
- and additional sources of information.
2. Assessment Principles and Overview
The property tax is the single most important revenue source of local
governments and schools. Assessed values upon which property taxes
are based are also used in calculating state aid for education, the
second largest revenue source for schools.
Property taxation begins with the determination of assessed values.
You determine the value of each parcel in your assessing unit, decide
the LOA, and apply it to each parcel to produce the assessment roll.
Once your roll is produced, other local officials responsible for
budgets and expenditures can divide their levy requirements by the
taxable value of your assessment roll to determine tax rates.
Tax Rate = Levy / Taxable Assessed Value
The amount of taxes owed by any individual taxpayer is simply the
sum of the applicable tax rates on his or her property multiplied
by his or her assessed value.
Taxes Owed = (Tax Rates) x (Taxable Assessed Value)
The two most important principles in property assessment are the
level of assessment and the uniformity of assessments. Level of Assessment
(LOA) relates to the overall or average relationship between assessed
values and market values. If you assess properties at market value,
property owners can evaluate the accuracy and fairness of their assessments
in a straightforward manner. If assessments differ significantly
from market values, property owners will have difficulty comprehending
and determining the fairness of their assessments.
Uniformity of Assessments relates to the consistency or equity of
individual assessments. Consider two taxpayers with identical homes
in the same neighborhood. If their assessments are equal, they will
pay equal property taxes. If not, one will pay too much and one will
pay too little. Similarly, if the value of one home in the neighborhood
is twice that of another, its assessment should be twice as much.
Uniformity measures the extent to which properties are assessed uniformly
or at the same percentage of market value. Good uniformity is associated
with equitable assessments. Poor uniformity implies inequitable assessments.
Except for New York, all states have legal standards for the level
of assessment. The most common standard is 100 percent of market
value. Other states have fractional percentages, e.g., 50% or 70%.
In still others, stipulated fractional percentages vary by class
of property. New York is alone in having no stipulated assessment
level. Instead, New York's Real Property Tax Laws (RPTL 503) calls
for you to determine your LOA and for the State to study whether
you have done so accurately and, if not, to restate your LOA.
The importance of accurately determining the LOA cannot be overstated.
LOAs are crucial for the fair and accurate apportionment of school
and other state aid payments tied to local property values. Without
LOAs, state aid would have no common basis and quickly collapse.
Payments would favor municipalities with out-of-date, low assessments
and punish those with accurate assessments.
You can accurately determine your LOA by studying the relationship
between assessments and sales prices. This puts you "on top of the
market," in a position to apply trends and adjustments so that assessments
reflect current market values (or a target percentage thereof). This
process promotes accurate and uniform assessments, the ideal state
in an equitable property tax system. Moreover, RPTL 1573 provides
for annual state aid payments (up to $5 per parcel) to municipalities
that maintain assessments at 100% of market value and physically
inspect properties at least every six years as called for by the
International Association of Assessing Officers.
3. Systematic Analysis to
Determine the LOA
To ensure equity among taxpayers, assessors must monitor the local
market and adjust property values to a common level. As mentioned,
New York State statute requires assessors to state their LOA on each
new assessment roll and offers incentives to maintain the level at
full market value. In addition to stating the LOA, the assessor must
produce an equitable roll, in which all properties are assessed at
the stated percentage of market value.
There are four steps to follow when studying the marketplace to determine
the LOA: (1) obtain current, accurate property inventory and market
data, (2) group the data, (3) analyze the data and take actions to
achieve the desired level, and (4) validate the results.
Obtain Property Inventory and Market Data
Equitable property values begin with current, accurate inventory
data. This data falls into three categories:
- land characteristics, such as lot size and site desirability;
- improvement characteristics, such as living area, design, grade,
garage capacity, year built, and condition;
- location, particularly market area and neighborhood.
Some of these items are objective (they are measured or counted)
and others are subjective, requiring knowledge and judgment. Two
of the most important subjective characteristics are building grade
and condition. It is particularly important that these items be current
and consistent. An error or inconsistency can easily impact the calculated
value for a property by 15 to 25 percent.
Although aerial photos and GIS can help, verifying and updating property
data requires field inspections. Field personnel must be adequately
trained, knowledgeable, and conscientious. Building permits must
be regularly reviewed and property records updated to reflect new
construction. The International Association of Assessing Officers (IAAO) guidelines require that all properties be field
inspected at least every 6 years to ensure that data are current
and consistent (as mentioned, physical inspection at least once every
six years is also required to qualify for Annual Aid).
Because of the importance of location in real estate values, assessors
must assign properties to market areas and neighborhoods. Market
areas are broad geographic areas in which properties are subject
to the same economic influences and change in value at similar rates.
All properties of a given type in a given market area are valued
together using the same valuation schedules and formulas. Neighborhoods
are specific geographic areas within a market area and are used to
make adjustments for differences in location desirability. You can
improve valuation accuracy by drawing neighborhood boundaries to
capture such differences. Take care, however, to ensure that there
will be adequate sales in each neighborhood for reliable analysis.
Because location impacts values differently, create separate market
area and neighborhood boundaries for residential and commercial properties.
In addition to property characteristics, valuation accuracy hinges
on the adequacy and reliability of valuation data, namely sales,
cost, and income data. Sales must be examined to identify valid,
open market transfers from other transfers. This involves an examination
of the Real Property Transfer Report (RP-5217) and often requires
follow-up with a party to the transfer to verify the price and circumstances
of the sale. Because construction costs change continually and vary greatly,
cost data used in valuation schedules must be kept current and adjusted
for local market conditions. Commercial property values can often
be improved by obtaining income and expense data to allow for the
use of the income approach, generally considered the most accurate
valuation method for such properties.
Stratify or Group the Data
Stratification is the grouping of properties for analysis. The two
most important criteria in this regard are property class (type or
use) and location. Assessors should study the mix and types of properties
and available market data in their jurisdictions to determine proper
strata. Large jurisdictions with more parcels and market data can
create more strata than smaller jurisdictions. For example, property
use groups in a large, urban municipality might include single-family
residences, condominiums, 2-4 plexes, apartments, small and strip
retail properties, offices, warehouses, hotels/motels, and utilities,
as well as several vacant land categories based on permitted zoning.
In a small, rural municipality it may be sufficient simply to group
properties as vacant land, residential, rural, commercial, or utility.
In recreational areas, seasonal residences should be distinguished
from year-round residences.
As mentioned, it is also important to stratify properties by market
areas and neighborhoods to capture location differences. Often a
market area can extend beyond the boundaries of a municipality, permitting
the use of market data across several municipalities with the same
economic base. Because market data are more limited and investors
are more mobile, commercial market areas are typically larger than
residential areas.
Analyze data
The third step in systematic analysis has two parts: a diagnostic
stage and a prescriptive stage.
Diagnostic stage - the assessor determines the current level
of assessment for each property strata by using time trend analysis
and sales ratio analysis as described below.
Time trend analysis involves a study of market trends over
the time frame covered by the data and the adjustment of sales prices
to the assessment date (or as close thereto as practical) based on
the observed rate of change. For example, an assessor may use three
years of sales prior to the valuation date in the systematic analysis
(to obtain adequate market data) and determine that values have increased
an average of 0.5 percent per month over the period. All sales would
then be adjusted to the target date at this rate. If a sale occurred
16 months prior to the target date, it would be adjusted upward by
8 percent.
When market values are changing, time adjustments are essential in
order to convert selling prices to a common denominator; otherwise
they will not reflect the target date of the analysis and will lead
to misleading results. By developing and applying time adjustments,
systematic analysis can span a larger time frame and accommodate
larger sample sizes, making possible a more reliable and detailed
analysis. Under IAAO guidelines, up to five years of data can be
analyzed in order to obtain adequate samples. Section 6 below outlines
time trend techniques available to assessors.
Sales ratio study is a study of the relationship between assessed values and market values as of a specific point in time (usually
the assessment date). There are two primary components to a sales
ratio study: level and uniformity. Ideally, the assessment level
should be near the LOA used by the municipality and assessments should
be uniform. Section 5 below describes how to perform a ratio study
and explains the various measures of level and uniformity calculated
in such studies.
Prescriptive stage involves acting on the results of the ratio
study. This involves reviewing the level and uniformity indicators
from the sales ratio study and determining what course of action
to take. Possible scenarios include:
No action. If your municipality has recently reappraised and
the market has been stable, it is possible that the level of assessment
has not changed and that uniformity is still good or at least acceptable.
In this case no action is required.
Apply market adjustments. If your municipality has recently
reappraised and achieved good uniformity, the most likely scenario
is that values can be trended to maintain the desired LOA (100% in
the case of a municipality committed to the 6-year Annual Reassessment
aid program). Trend factors should be based on ratio study results
for the value groups created during the stratification phase of systematic
analysis. A stratum in which the market has been comparatively strong
will require a greater trend factor than a stratum for which the
market has been comparatively weak.
Reappraise some or all properties. If a revaluation has not
been conducted for several years (or if a recent revaluation failed
to produce good uniformity), you should plan a new revaluation. Sometimes
certain strata may exhibit good equity while others do not. In this
case, you may choose to reappraise the former group and trend values
in the latter group. The IAAO recommends reappraisal of properties at least once every six years.
Remember, all properties are required by law to be assessed at the same uniform percentage of value each year. The prescriptive stage is the appropriate stage to apply the results of your analysis in order to keep assessment uniform, even if they are not at 100 percent.
Overview
of Diagnostic Analysis
|
Uniformity
|
Level not
=100%
|
Level = 100%
|
Poor
|
Reappraise
|
Reappraise
|
Good
|
Trend
|
OK as is
|
Validate Results
Assuming values are adjusted during the prescriptive phase of step
3 above, the final step is to validate results by rerunning the sales
ratio study using the new values. The results should support your
target LOA. Unless all values were trended by the same percentage,
measures of assessment uniformity should also improve.
4. Importance of Current and Accurate Data
The importance of current and accurate data cannot be overemphasized.
More than anything else, the success of systematic analysis and the
general accuracy and uniformity of assessments rests on current,
accurate data.
As discussed in section 7, ORPS maintains a data warehouse of market
data and property characteristics taken from the final assessment
rolls that are filed electronically by assessors and contractors
on an annual basis. ORPS relies on this data in conducting systematic
analyses and determining equalization rates. It is incumbent on assessors
and their contractors, however, to keep this data current and accurate.
The single most important piece of market information is the sale
price of a property. It is critical that someone knowledgeable of
the local market reviews each sale to ensure that the price is representative
and to determine whether the sale is an arm's-length, open market
transfer usable for market analysis. Since commercial sales are fewer
in number and more complex, they require special attention. You should
try to maximize the number of commercial sales available for analysis
while ensuring that invalid sales are excluded.
Research has shown that the most important property characteristics
are property class, neighborhood, square foot of living area, grade,
age and condition, design, lot size, and site amenities, particularly
water frontage, where applicable. Pay special attention to the accuracy
of these features and, in particular, to ensuring the accuracy and
consistency across of subjective features, such as grade and condition.
If you maintain a current, accurate database, you will be in a good
position, not only to determine your LOA accurately, but also to
achieve highly accurate and uniform assessments. All aspects of systematic
analysis will also be substantially enhanced.
5. How to Conduct a Ratio Study
A ratio study is a study of the relationship between assessments
and market values. Traditionally sales prices serve as market value
proxies in such studies, although appraisals or CAMA estimates can
also be used. Along with time trend analysis (section 6), a ratio
study is part of the third step of systematic analysis. Thus, a ratio
study begins with data gathering (step 1) and stratification (step
2). Properties are stratified by major property class and a separate
set of ratio statistics is calculated for each class. Depending on
available market data, properties are then sub-stratified by other
key characteristics, particularly location (market area and neighborhood).
In general, you should have at least 15 samples in each stratum for
meaningful analysis; 30 is considered a benchmark for high reliability.
The easiest way to expand sample size in a sales ratio study is to
ensure that all valid sales are available and to use sales from several
years (of course, the sales must be adjusted for time as discussed
in section 6).
The three primary facets of a ratio study are (1) overall assessment
level, (2) equity among property groups or strata, and (3) equity
within groups.
Overall Level of Assessment
The overall level of assessment represents the overall ratio between
assessments and market values. Three statistics are used to measure
the assessment level:
- Median ratio. This is the middle ratio. When there are
an odd number of ratios, the median is found by arraying the ratios
from smallest to largest, dividing the sample size plus 1 (n+1) by
2, and counting up the indicated number of ratios. For example, if
there are 25 ratios, the median is ratio #13, since (25+1)/2 = 13.
When the number of ratios is even, as in exhibit 1 below, the median
is the average of the two middle ratios (.934 + 1.000 / 2). The median
has the desirable feature of not being overly influenced by outlier
ratios.
- Mean ratio. The mean is the average of the ratios
(.950 in exhibit 1). Particularly in small samples, the mean can
be highly influenced by outlier ratios.
- Weighted mean.
Also know as the "aggregate ratio", the weighted mean is the sum
of the assessed values divided by the sum of the sales prices (.960
in exhibit 1). The weighted mean is the only one of the three measures
to use dollar values. Since it expresses the assessment ratio in
dollar terms, it is considered the most appropriate measure of the
equalization rate. Note, however, that the weighted mean can be influenced
by outlier ratios, particularly if they occur for high value sales.
ORPS uses the weighted mean in its equalization rate calculations,
although outliers are trimmed to ensure that the measure is not influenced
by such sales.
Exhibit 1
Example of Ratio Study Statistics
| Assessment |
Sale
Price |
Ratio |
Rank |
Ratio-Median
(Abs Value) |
| 12,000 |
40,000 |
.300 |
1 |
.667 |
| 24,000 |
60,000 |
.400 |
2 |
.567 |
| 90,020 |
140,000 |
.643 |
3 |
.324 |
| 80,040 |
120,000 |
.667 |
4 |
.300 |
| 60,000 |
80,000 |
.750 |
5 |
.217 |
| 62,000 |
80,000 |
.775 |
6 |
.192 |
| 48,000 |
60,000 |
.800 |
7 |
.167 |
| 84,000 |
100,000 |
.840 |
8 |
.127 |
| 112,080
|
120,000 |
.934 |
9 |
.033 |
| 100,000 |
100,000 |
1.000 |
10 |
.033 |
| 90,000 |
80,000 |
1.125 |
11 |
.158 |
| 158,060 |
140,000 |
1.129 |
12 |
.162 |
| 116,500 |
100,000 |
1.165 |
13 |
.198 |
| 48,000 |
40,000 |
1.200 |
14 |
.233 |
| 150,000 |
120,000 |
1.250 |
15 |
.283 |
| 180,040 |
140,000 |
1.286 |
16 |
.319 |
| 60,000
|
40,000 |
1.500 |
17 |
.363 |
| 79,800 |
60,000 |
1.330 |
18 |
.533 |
|
| 1,554,540 |
1,620,000 |
17.094 |
|
4.876 |
Median = (.934 + 1.000) ÷ 2 = .967
Mean = 17.094 ÷ 18 = .950
Weighted Mean = 1,554,540 ÷ 1,620,000 = .960
Average Absolute Deviation = 4.876 ÷ 18 = .271
COD (Coefficient of Dispersion) = 100 x .271 ÷ .967 = 28.0
PRD (Price Related Differential) = .950 ÷ .960 = .990
Equity Among Property Groups
As discussed, one of the most important features of an equitable
assessment system is uniformity in assessment levels between property
groups. Consider residential properties in the two municipalities
below. Both municipalities have an overall level of assessment of
100%. But is assessment equity equal? Note that in municipality A,
homeowners in NBHD 204 will pay 50% more in taxes on comparable property
than homeowners in NBHD 201. In municipality B, effective tax rates
are similar regardless of neighborhood.
Municipality
A
|
Municipality
B
|
NBHD
|
Assessment
Level
|
NBHD
|
Assessment
level
|
201
|
.800
|
710
|
.980
|
202
|
.900
|
711
|
1.030
|
203
|
1.100
|
712
|
.999
|
204
|
1.200
|
713
|
1.012
|
Totals
|
1.000
|
Totals
|
1.000
|
By calculating and comparing measures of the assessment level among
property classes, neighborhoods, size groups, age groups, and other
strata assessors can effectively ensure that all property groups
are appraised uniformly. Where a group is out of line, an adjustment
or trend factor can be applied (prescriptive phase of diagnostic
analysis).
Equity Within Groups
Although there are a number of useful measures of assessment uniformity
for a property group, the most important is the coefficient of dispersion
(COD). The COD represents the average percentage deviation from the
median ratio and can be loosely thought of as the "average error".
It is calculated as follows:
- Subtract the median from each ratio and take absolute values
(drop the signs). The results represent the difference between each
ratio and the median ratio. For example, in Exhibit 1 the median
is .967. If you subtract .967 from the first ratio of .300 you will
get -.667. By dropping the sign, the absolute value of the ratio-median
is .667. Ideally the deviations would all be small. In exhibit 1,
they range from .033 to .667.
- Find the average absolute deviation
by determining the sum of all the ratio-medians as described in the
step above and then dividing by the number of occurrences (4.876
/ 18 = .271 in exhibit 1).
- Divide the average absolute deviation
by the median ratio and multiply by 100 (.271/.967 * 100) to obtain
the COD (28.0 in exhibit 1). This step converts the average absolute
deviation to a percentage. In this case, the COD indicates that the
ratios differ from the median by an average of 28.0 percent.
A second important measure of uniformity is the price-related differential
(PRD), which is a measure of equity between low-value and high-value
properties. The PRD is computed by dividing the mean (.950 in exhibit
1), which is not dollar weighted, by the weighted mean (.960), which
is dollar weighted. When these two measures differ by more than a
small margin, it indicates inconsistency in the level of appraisal
between low-value and high-value properties. Note that in exhibit
1 the PRD is .990, a good result.
Analyzing and Acting Upon Results
The IAAO has developed standards for the COD and PRD. The table below
sets out COD standards, which vary by property type. The standard
for the PRD is 0.98 to 1.03. PRDs below 0.98 indicate assessment
progressivity, the condition in which low-value properties are under-assessed
relative to high-value properties. PRDs above 1.03 indicate assessment
regressivity, in which high-value properties are under-assessed relative
to low-value properties. Of course, outliers can distort both the
COD and PRD (IAAO standards condone the trimming of up to 5% of ratios
provided a review does not indicate that they represent a systemic).
When COD and PRD standards are met, professional practice considers
it acceptable to update property values through market adjustment
or trend factors. When the standards are not met, "recalibration"
of valuation tables and equations is required to address underlying
problems and bring properties into proper alignment. Of course, if
the problem involves outdated property data (or if it has been more
than six years since the last data collection effort), a field review
is also required.
Property
Type
|
COD
Should Not Exceed
|
Newer,
homogeneous residences
|
10.0
|
Older,
heterogeneous residences
|
15.0
|
Rural
residential and seasonal properties
|
20.0
|
Commercial
property – urban areas
|
15.0
|
Commercial
property – rural areas
|
20.0
|
Vacant
land
|
20.0
|
Ratio Study Software
Needless to say, conducting a sales ratio study would be a tedious
affair without supporting software. Fortunately, there are a number
of good options for assessors. First, RPS supports basic sales ratio
analyses. Secondly, many assessors use spreadsheet software, such
as Excel, to conduct sales ratio analyses. Third, statistical software,
such as SPSS, are excellent for such studies and also include easy
to use charts and graphs that can assist in identifying patterns
and trends. SPSS 11 contains a "ratio statistics" module for assessors.
Below is an example of the output generated for the data in exhibit
1.

Regardless of software used, ratios studies are a valuable tool.
They provide assessors with the means to monitor performance against
professional standards and identify both areas of strength and opportunities
for improvement. Often they will suggest that appraisal performance
for some properties is just fine or can be easily corrected through
application of an adjustment factor, while other properties require
greater attention. These analyses can help assessors identify priorities
and maximize the use of available resources.
6. Time Trend Analysis
Time trend analysis is one of two steps in the diagnostic phase of
systematic analysis. When market values are changing, time trend
analysis is essential in order to determine the appropriate equalization
rate as of the assessment date; otherwise calculated measures of
the assessment level will reflect the approximate midpoint of sales
used in the analysis.
All methods of time trend analysis rely on sales data. Because time
is only one factor affecting sales prices, determining time trends
with reasonable reliability requires a considerable volume of sales,
more so than sales ratio analyses. Since there are often insufficient
sales in individual municipalities for this purpose, ORPS in collaboration
with assessors and county directors has constructed market areas
that are generally large enough for the purpose. Of course, separate
market areas have been defined for residential and commercial properties.
Assessors have available at least four methods of determining time
trends. Each of these is explained below. These methods are explained
in more detail in the IAAO texts listed in the references at the
end of section 7.
Resales Analysis
Assessors can compare prices of properties that have resold and extract
an average rate of change between the initial sale and resale. It
is important to understand that this method is compromised by any
physical changes made to the property between sales.
Value Per Unit Analysis
In this method the assessor plots and analyzes changes in price-per-unit
over the study period. The unit of comparison should be appropriate
for the type of property, e.g., acres for rural land and square feet
of living area for residential property. Exhibit 2 below shows a
graph of sale price per square foot over a 36- month period. Inspection
of the graph indicates that prices increased from approximately $76
psf at the beginning of the period (month 1) to $100 at the end of
the period (month 36). This represents an increase of $24 psf or
31.6% ($24 + $76) over the 35-month span from month 1 to month 36,
or an average of 0.90% per month (31.6% + 35).
Although the time trend can be "eyeballed" reasonably well, simple
linear regression (available in spreadsheet programs like Excel and
all statistical programs) can be used to fit the trend precisely.
This method also has the advantage of determining the "standard error"
or statistical reliability of the trend.

Sales Ratio Trend Analysis
Sales ratio trend analysis compares sale/assessment (S/A) ratios
over a period of time. The assessments should be the existing assessments
at the time of analysis. Expressing sales prices relative to assessments
has the advantage that assessments reflect or control for virtually
all property features that influence value (not just size as in the
value per unit method). An upward trend in S/A ratios indicates inflation;
a downward trend indicates deflation. The method works best when
CODs are good. If assessment uniformity is poor, more sales are required
to establish the trend. Outliers can be trimmed (since assessment
performance is not being analyzed, trimming criteria can be more
liberal than in sales ratio studies).
Exhibits 3 and 4 illustrate the method. Exhibit 3 shows a plot of
135 S/A ratios over a 24-month period. The regression trend line
indicates that the S/A ratio increased from approximately 0.98 at
the beginning of the period to approximately 1.18 by the end – an increase of 0.20 or 0.87% per month (.20 +23 = .0087).
Similarly, exhibit 4 shows a line graph of median S/A ratios over
the same period. Again, one could eyeball the trend with reasonable
accuracy, although regression analysis would enhance the analysis.
Since it only requires data on sale price, previous assessed value
and sale date, sales ratio trend analysis can be effectively applied
against any property type with adequate sales. Along with CAMA models
(described next), it is one of two primary methods relied on by ORPS
to establish time trends.

CAMA Models
Municipalities that use multiple regression analysis or similar techniques
can include time variables in their models. Assume that a CAMA model
calibrated a coefficient of −240 for the variable MONTHS (1-
36) and that the average sale price was $100,000. This would indicate
that values were declining by an average of .24% per month (−240
÷100,000).
CAMA models have the advantage of explicitly controlling for the
effects of all variables tested in the model – neighborhood,
lot size, building size, construction grade, year built, and all
other features for which variables were included in the model. Many
options are available for testing alternative model formats and time
variables. As mentioned, it is one of two methods used extensively
by ORPS (along with the sales ratio trend method). Statistical software
(such as SPSS is required for this method.
Applying Trend Factors
Once the time trend is identified, sales prices must be adjusted
to the target date (normally the assessment date). This can be done
by creating a time variable centered on the assessment date. Assume,
for example, that we found that sales were increasing at the rate
of 0.50% percent per month over the 36-month period, January 2000
– December 2002, and we wish to adjust sales to the assessment
date, January 1, 2003. Note that sales in December 2002 would, on
average, have occurred ½ month before the assessment date,
sales in November 2002 would have occurred 1.5 months before, and
so forth. Thus our new time variable (which we will call MOS) ranges
from .5 (Dec 2002) to 35.5 (Jan 2000). Time-adjusted sales prices
(TASP) are computed as follows:
TASP = Sales Price * (1+.005*MOS)
For example, a sale of $100,000 in January 2002 would have an adjusted
price of $105,750:
TASP = 100,000 * (1+.005*11.5) = 100,000 * 1.0575 = 105,750
If the sale occurred in January 2000, the adjusted price would be:
TASP = 100,000 * (1+.005*35.5) = 100,000 * 1.1775 = 117,750.
Note the difference between MOS and MONTHS. The latter is used to
develop the time trend and begins at the earliest month and
counts forward. The former is used to apply the time trend
and begins at the target (assessment) date and count backward (it
would be negative for sales after the assessment date).
A sales ratio study comparing assessments with TASP is used to determine
the equalization rate. When prior year assessments are used, the
results indicate the amount of adjustment that must be made to achieve
100% or whatever the target rate is (diagnostic phase). When new
or current year assessments are used, the indicated rate should approximate
the desired rate (testing phase of systematic analysis).
7. Obtaining Resources and
Help
The process of systematic analysis requires strong appraisal/analytical
skills and supporting resources. As discussed, property data must
be reviewed and updated as necessary, property strata must be created,
market data must be assembled and analyzed, decisions made, and actions
taken. Supporting resources, particularly personnel and software,
are required.
Many assessing units in New York are small and lack the immediate
wherewithal to undertake systematic analysis and keep values current
and equitable, particularly in dynamic markets. The first step to
obtaining the necessary capacity is self-education. As the official
in charge of maintaining assessments, you must understand the goals,
tasks, and mechanics of the assessment process. You will then be
in a position to know what must be done and how to acquire the necessary
skills and resources.
This guide is intended to provide a starting point in this self-education
process. In addition to the references listed below, there are three
primary sources of support that you and your staff can turn to for
information and specific help.
- County Real Property Tax Services (RPTS). Many county RPTS departments
possess skills in systematic analysis, are often closest to the assessor
and may be able to provide hand's-on help dependant on time and resources
available.
- New York State Office of Real Property Tax Services
(ORPS). ORPS regional offices will assist assessors with systematic
analysis to the extent that time and resources permit. ORPS manages
a data warehouse of property characteristics and market data (but
depends on assessors to keep such data current and accurate) and
maintains the New York Real Property System (RPS), which can be used
to conduct both systematic analyses and full reappraisal activity.
Schools and seminars are offered periodically on use of these tools
and interpretation of results (see the training link on the ORPS
web site: www.orps.state.ny.us).
- Contractors. There are a number of vendors available who can provide assistance with systematic analysis and follow-up reappraisal activity. Contractors can help group properties and define neighborhoods, collect and verify property data, assemble market information, develop valuation schedules and formulas, and defend values upon appeal. The key to a successful revaluation is to understand the tasks and requirements and to work closely with
the contractor to ensure effective execution.
ORPS strives to work closely with assessors and counties on systematic
analysis projects. In a process known as pre-decisional collaboration,
these parties work together in analyzing market data to establish
the LOA and measures of valuation uniformity. Pre-decisional collaboration
can take place at three different levels.
- Lowest level. ORPS performs the necessary analysis, shares and
explains the results, and seeks agreement on appropriate actions,
which can range from simply establishing the LOA to contracting for
a full reappraisal.
- Middle ground. All parties share data and
participate in diagnostic analyses. They reach a joint decision on
the prescriptive phase of the analysis. This level requires the full
input and participation of the assessor and assumes a higher skill
level.
- Highest level. The assessor, perhaps with the assistance
of the county RPTS, performs the diagnostic analyses and reaches
a tentative decision concerning follow-up actions. ORPS confirms
the process and accepts the results. This represents the ideal state
with the local governments able to conduct independent analyses,
interpret results, and determine required actions.
ORPS has a number of publications and other materials that provide
help with various aspects of systematic analysis and development
of the LOA. Most of this information is available on the ORPS web
site (www.orps.state.ny.us). In particular, look for the following
links:
- Fair Assessments - the requirements
and methods for keeping assessments up-to-date, as well as success
stories, legal topics and related newsletter stories
- State
Aid – details regarding Annual Aid, as well as Triennial
and Consolidation Incentive Aid
- Assessors'
Manuals (available from "Valuing and Assessing Real Property")
– exemption administration, data collection and maintenance
and the valuation reference manual
- Equalization
and Tax Levy Distribution – rates, survey procedures, the LOA pamphlet, systematic analysis and more
- Real property system – RPS includes the CAMA system maintained by ORPS
- Training – requirements and opportunities for assessors,
county directors and staff
In addition, the International Association of Assessing Officers
(IAAO) has a wealth of publications,
courses, and workshops for assessors that address all aspects of
the assessment process. The following publications are particularly
relevant:
- Assessment Practices: Self-Evaluation Guide (forthcoming; 2003)
- Mass Appraisal of Real Property (2000)
- Standard on Mass Appraisal of Real Property (2002)
- Standard on Ratio Studies (1999)
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